hypostatic Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Same here in CNJ, though I think there's still a good amount of snowing left Quote Link to comment
GHill762 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Only a few inches, not nearly close to what was predicted. here's my theory: meteoroligists are owned by the bakers and dairy farmers. every time there is a nasty storm predicted there is a run on milk and bread, gotta keep demand up so you buy the meteorologists and create demand. 4 Quote Link to comment
Veng Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 here's my theory: meteoroligists are owned by the bakers and dairy farmers. every time there is a nasty storm predicted there is a run on milk and bread, gotta keep demand up so you buy the meteorologists and create demand. The real answer is the worse weather.com predicts a storm to be, the more clicks they get on their website, and thus the more ad revenue they get as well. 3 Quote Link to comment
hypostatic Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Eh, I always cut weather reports some slack. They're only trying to predict the future lol Quote Link to comment
GHill762 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Eh, I always cut weather reports some slack. They're only trying to predict the future lol only profession I know of where you can be wrong 98% of the time and still have a job 5 Quote Link to comment
markalot Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The real answer is the worse weather.com predicts a storm to be, the more clicks they get on their website, and thus the more ad revenue they get as well. Accumulation is damn hard to predict, but yea, the weather channel names storms now and is all about hype. Euro model is left biased so accumulations should have been shifted east. Hindsight. The American model, the GFS, is a piece of crap and a fine example of how bad programming and bad version control can ruin a project. That said it's usually good within 24 hours and it correctly predicted the storm moving more east yesterday. If they under-predicted there would be hell to pay. Lot's of politicians have lost their jobs due to bad weather planning. Lose lose situation. 1 Quote Link to comment
metrokat Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 It makes me worried about the next prediction, you know like the weatherman that cried wolf. Quote Link to comment
GHill762 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 It makes me worried about the next prediction, you know like the weatherman that cried wolf. just keep buying that bread and milk 1 Quote Link to comment
metrokat Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 If they under-predicted there would be hell to pay. Lot's of politicians have lost their jobs due to bad weather planning. Lose lose situation. I was in Atlanta exactly a year ago when the city did absolutely NOTHING to prepare and had 1-2 inches of ice that paralysed the entire metropolis for 2 days. Nobody lost their job. Quote Link to comment
MikeTR Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 only profession I know of where you can be wrong 98% of the time and still have a job Did juno we were wrong again?! Quote Link to comment
metrokat Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 Did juno we were wrong again?! yup On the bright side, everybody has a holiday today. If I didn't have to fly tomorrow I would have had brunch and bloody marys with my girlfriend. Quote Link to comment
cju84 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 yup On the bright side, everybody has a holiday today. If I didn't have to fly tomorrow I would have had brunch and bloody marys with my girlfriend. You can still have bloody mary's and fly tomorrow. The day is still young! 2 Quote Link to comment
GHill762 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 You can still have bloody mary's and fly tomorrow. The day is still young! this. mmm.. bloody marys sound good. 1 Quote Link to comment
BattleAthletics Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Happy birthday! Oh wait, happy belated birthday! 1 Quote Link to comment
Chris! Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I was in Atlanta exactly a year ago when the city did absolutely NOTHING to prepare and had 1-2 inches of ice that paralysed the entire metropolis for 2 days. Nobody lost their job. Sounds like a normal winter day here.... the city barely plows the main roads, side streets havent been touched, theres 2-3" of solid compacted snow thats melted just enough to turn into ice.... and it hasn't snowed in probably a week my girlfriend. 1 Quote Link to comment
sunburn Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 It makes me worried about the next prediction, you know like the weatherman that cried wolf. One of the news stations in PA has a "confidence meter". For this storm they had "low confidence" in their prediction for over a foot of snow - which we didn't get close to. We got basically nothing. So today they're congratulating themselves about how great they were about their low confidence prediction. 3 Quote Link to comment
metrokat Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 lol, don't get excited. 2 Quote Link to comment
GHill762 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 One of the news stations in PA has a "confidence meter". For this storm they had "low confidence" in their prediction for over a foot of snow - which we didn't get close to. We got basically nothing. So today they're congratulating themselves about how great they were about their low confidence prediction. "this is what we are predicting, but we have no confidence in our prediction" wait, what? why would you even ask for their prediction if they aren't confident in their own predictions? 3 Quote Link to comment
Arce Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Remember the poopy brown insurance policy frags... DSCN0396 by justinarce5692, on Flickr DSCN0395 by justinarce5692, on Flickr The torts not as blue IRL, more green, but its right under a B+ bulb so the pics distorted. Edit: LOL get it Dis-TORT-ed.... i crack myself up. 4 Quote Link to comment
brad908 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 "this is what we are predicting, but we have no confidence in our prediction" wait, what? why would you even ask for their prediction if they aren't confident in their own predictions? You're supposed to give a confidence measure when you're making a prediction/educated guess. Quote Link to comment
metrokat Posted January 27, 2015 Author Share Posted January 27, 2015 Remember the poopy brown insurance policy frags... https://flic.kr/p/qF9XE5][/url]https://flic.kr/p/qF9XE5]DSCN0396[/url] by https://www.flickr.com/people/124253540@N05/]justinarce5692[/url], on Flickr https://flic.kr/p/qXHtkT][/url]https://flic.kr/p/qXHtkT]DSCN0395[/url] by https://www.flickr.com/people/124253540@N05/]justinarce5692[/url], on Flickr The torts not as blue IRL, more green, but its right under a B+ bulb so the pics distorted. Edit: LOL get it Dis-TORT-ed.... i crack myself up. You Dunn good Justin! Might want those back and give you the colonies....... DANG I need my light on this tank already. Argh. 2 Quote Link to comment
Arce Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 You Dunn good Justin! Might want those back and give you the colonies....... DANG I need my light on this tank already. Argh. Lmao idk if i have room for colonies, but if u need anything else leme know. Once you get your light back though yours will bounce back. Quote Link to comment
sunburn Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 You're supposed to give a confidence measure when you're making a prediction/educated guess. Can you imagine anyone doing that at their everyday job? "I think you should cut the red wire on that bomb, but I have low confidence in me being right." 1 Quote Link to comment
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